Michigan Schedule of Presentations
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Friday, October 8 |
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Time |
Session |
Paper |
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9:30 |
A |
Erick Duchesne and William R. Clark, Injury, Threats, and Retaliation: Crisis Decision-Making and the American Use of Section 301 |
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9:30 |
B |
Brian Lai, Testing What Factors Lead a Government to Respond to Domestic Unrest with Concessions, Repression, or Diversion |
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10:00 |
A |
Glenn Palmer and Pat Regan, Structural Impediments to Conflict Escalation: Political and Pivotal Parties in Parliamentary Democracies |
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10:00 |
B |
Patrick James, Athanasios Hristoulas, and Jean-Sebastien Rioux, Modelling the Simultaneous Impact of Domestic and International Factors |
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11:00 |
A |
Heejoon Kang and Rafael Reuveny, An Investigation of Multi-Country Dynamic Relationships between Trade and Conflict |
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11:00 |
B |
Vesna Danilovic, Democracy and Deterrence: The Historical Record of Major Powers, 1895-1985 |
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11:30 |
A |
Zeev Maoz and Ben D. Mor, The Strategic Dynamics of Enduring Rivalries: A Comparative Analysis of Case Studies and Quantitative Methods |
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11:30 |
B |
Katherine Barbieri, Commerce vs. Conquest: A False Dichotomy? |
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12:00 |
A |
Erik Gartzke, The Logic and Limits of Two-Level Games |
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12:00 |
B |
Matthew Baum, How Public Opinion Constrains the Political Use of Force |
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2:00 |
A |
James Ray, Identifying Interstate War Initiators on the Directed Dyadic Level of Analysis |
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2:00 |
B |
Michael McGinnis, Conflict Dynamics in a Three-Level Game: A Model of Local, National & International Conflict in the Horn of Africa |
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2:30 |
A |
William Reed and David Clark, Why Do Democracies Win the Wars They Fight? |
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2:30 |
B |
Brett Ashley Leeds, Andrew Long, and Sara McLaughlin Mitchell, Re-Evaluating Alliance Reliability: Specific Threats, Specific Promises |
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3:00 |
A |
Curtis Meek, A Competing Risks Model of Civil War Duration |
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3:00 |
B |
Curtis Peet and Marc Simon, Embedded Liberal Democracies and Militarized Disputes |
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4:00 |
A |
Håvard Hegre, Asymmetric Trade Relationships and Militarized Conflict |
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4:00 |
B |
Dan Reiter, Winning Wars on the Factory Floors? Democracies, Wartime Economic Mobilization, and Victory |
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4:30 |
A |
David Lektzian and Mark Souva, Institutions and International Cooperation: A Duration Analysis of the Effects of Sanctions |
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4:30 |
B |
Paul Senese, Sowing the Seeds of War: Explaining Recurrent Patterns of Conflict |
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5:00 |
A |
Michelle Benson, The Ties that Bind: The Status Quo, Democracy, and Conflict |
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5:00 |
B |
Suzanne Werner, The Duration of War |
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5:30 |
A |
Marie Besancon and Ismene Gizelis, Poverty, Religion, Ethnicity, and the Death Trap |
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5:30 |
B |
Rafael Reuveny and John Maxwell, Toward a Dynamic Model of Conflict Over Renewable Resources in Developing Countries |
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Saturday, October 9 |
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Time |
Session |
Paper |
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8:30 |
A |
Hanna Newcombe, Philip Klaassen, Ruth Klaassen, and Steven Holloway, Across the Great Divide: UN Voting Before and After the End of the Cold War |
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8:30 |
B |
Douglas Gibler, Military Buildups, Counter-Alliances, and Crises: Exploring the Non-War Effects of Alliance Formation |
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9:00 |
A |
Jonathan DiCicco and Jack Levy, Power Shifts and Problem Shifts: The Evolution of the Power Transition Research Program |
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9:00 |
B |
Marc Kilgour, Prospects for Conflict Management: A Game-Theoretic Analysis |
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9:30 |
A |
Taehyun Kim, How Korean Reunification Will Shape and Be Shaped by the Next East Asian Order: A Computer Simulation |
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9:30 |
B |
Michael Simon, Nuclear Acquisition as a Strategic Choice |
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10:00 |
A |
J. David Singer, Wars of the Nth Kind? |
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10:00 |
B |
Karl DeRouen, Jr., Presidents and the Diversionary Use of Force |
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11:00 |
A |
Jaroslav Tir, Territorial Disputes and International Conflict: Impact of Territorial Exchanges |
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11:00 |
B |
Sara McLaughlin Mitchell and Will H. Moore, A New Look at US Presidents and the Use of Force |
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11:30 |
A |
Jeffrey Dixon, Predicting Civil War Termination: Effects of Capabilities, Costs, and Third Parties |
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11:30 |
B |
Kristian Gleditsch, Determinants of Democracy and Democratization: Wealth, Conflict, and Diffusion |
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12:00 |
A |
Pelle Andersen, Justin Bumgardner, J. Michael Greig, and Paul F. Diehl, Turning Down the Heat: Exogenous and Endogenous Influences on Conflict Management in Enduring Rivalries |
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12:00 |
B |
Andrew J. Enterline, Some Other Time: The Timing of Third Party Intervention in Dynamic Interstate Conflicts, 1816-1992 |
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2:00 |
A |
Jacek Kugler, Yi Fang, and Paul Zak, Capacity, Freedom, Fertility and Development |
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2:00 |
B |
Brian Efird, The Primacy of Power: Formal Dynamics of Power Transitions |
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2:30 |
A |
Michael Koch, Time is Not on our Side: Democracies, Dyads, and Dispute Duration |
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2:30 |
B |
Renato Corbetta and William Dixon, Capabilities and Constraints in Third Party Alignment Choices |
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3:00 |
A |
T. Clifton Morgan and Anne Miers, When Threats Succeed: A Formal Model of the Threat And Use of Economic Sanctions |
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3:00 |
B |
Michael Mousseau, Explaining the Conflict in Kosovo: Market Democracy and Collaboration in Militarized Interstate Disputes |
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4:00 |
A |
Thomas Sowers, Belinda Davis, and Juan Copa, The Myth of a Vigiliant Public: The Impact of Public Opinion on Foreign Policy |
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4:00 |
B |
Christopher Sprecher, The Duration of Extended Deterrence via Alliance |
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4:30 |
A |
Steven Brams, Marc Kilgour, and Michael A. Jones, The Paradox of Disconnected Coalitions |
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4:30 |
B |
Volker Krause and Jonathan Canedo, Civil War and Militarized Interstate Dispute Involvement: Testing a Simultaneous Equation Model |
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5:00 |
A |
Peter Brecke, Violent Conflicts 1400 AD to the Present in Different Regions of the World |
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5:00 |
B |
Michael Ireland and Scott Gartner, Government Type and Conflict Initiation in Parliamentary Systems |
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Sunday, October 10 |
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Time |
Session |
Paper |
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9:00 |
A |
Mark Crescenzi, Economic Exit, Interdependence, and Conflict: An Empirical Analysis |
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9:00 |
B |
Bruce Russett, John R. Oneal, and Michaeline Cox, Clash of Civilizations or Liberalism and Realism Deja Vu? Some Evidence |
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9:30 |
A |
Walter Isard, Empire Emergence and Decay; Past and Future: Implications for Balance of Power Theory |
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9:30 |
B |
Doug Stinnett, Uncertainty and the Second Image Reversed: International Politics and Surplus Majority Coalitions in Israel |
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10:00 |
A |
Chad Atkinson, The Spatial Connection: Assessing the Interdependence of Interstate Conflict |
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10:00 |
B |
David Sacko, Pinnacle Leadership in the World Economy |
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11:00 |
A |
David Sobek, The Determinants of War in the Developing World |
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11:00 |
B |
Hyun Sub Yun, Peace Intelligence and Human Conflicts |
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11:30 |
A |
Alexandra Guisinger and Alastair Smith, The Role of Domestic Political Institutions in Signaling Intentions During Disputes |
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11:30 |
B |
Mark Mullenbach, Intrastate Disputes and Dispute Management in the 20th Century: Identification and Categorization |
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12:00 |
A |
Robert Muncaster and Raymond Dacey, Levels of Interaction in the International Political Economy |
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12:00 |
B |
Bernadette Jungblut and Richard Stoll, International Trade and Interstate Conflict: The Influence of Domestic Political Institutions |
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12:30 |
A |
Carmela Lutmar, Normalizing Relations after Wars: Defining Processes and Identifying Patterns |
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12:30 |
B |
Siddharth Swaminathan, Government Capacity, Democracy and Civil Conflict |
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